
Bid/no-bid decision matrix
Eligibility first. Then the score.
Try the workbenchThe film is unavailable. You can read what it shows below.
What the film shows, in words
- Eligibility first. Then the score.
- Five checks. Eight weighted criteria. 64 of 100: hold.
- Stronger against competitors: 71. Still hold.
- One licence missing: no bid, at 71.
- Confirmed: go, at 71.
- Evidence before optimism.
The demo: the worked example, one answer at a time
ExampleAn evaluation tender with one uncertain eligibility point. A score is a judgement on eight weighted lines, never a chance of winning.
Step 1 of 4
Verdict: HOLD
64 of 100. Hold.
11.25 + 5 + 7.5 + 11.25 + 5 + 11.25 + 5 + 7.5 = 63.75, which rounds to 64. 6 short of the GO line. Four gates open; Licences not sure. Close the gaps below before committing bid resources.
First evidence to find: List the likely bidders and our edge over each.
- LegalYes
- MinimumsYes
- LicencesNot sure
- DeadlineYes
- ConflictsYes
- Fit11.25 of 15
- Client5 of 10
- Competitors7.5 of 15
- Capability11.25 of 15
- Team5 of 10
- Evidence11.25 of 15
- Price5 of 10
- Terms7.5 of 10
- LegalWe are legally eligible to bid (entity, registration, nationality rules)
- MinimumsWe meet the minimum turnover and experience thresholds
- LicencesWe hold every mandatory certification or licence
- DeadlineWe can submit a compliant response by the deadline
- ConflictsWe have no conflict of interest
Now your opportunity, gate by gate.
Test an opportunity against the eligibility rules that cannot be negotiated, then score it on eight weighted criteria. A hard eligibility failure overrides any score, and the weakest criteria tell you what evidence to find before you commit.
What to do before you decide
Close the gaps below before committing bid resources.
64/100
Weighted bid score
GO at 70 or more, HOLD from 50 to 69, NO-GO below 50, unless eligibility fails.
Hard eligibility
- Strength: We are legally eligible to bid (entity, registration, nationality rules)
- Strength: We meet the minimum turnover and experience thresholds
- Check: We hold every mandatory certification or licenceUnresolved: get written confirmation from the buyer or your adviser.
- Strength: We can submit a compliant response by the deadline
- Strength: We have no conflict of interest
- Fits our strategy and the work we want more of11
- We know the client and their real problem5
- We can beat the likely competitors7.5
- We have the technical capability in-house or through partners11
- The right team is available for the dates5
- We can evidence similar past work11
- Our price can be competitive and still profitable5
- Contract terms and risks are acceptable7.5
Evidence to find before you decide
- 01List the likely bidders and our edge over each.We can beat the likely competitors · scored 2 of 4
- 02Find someone who has worked with this client; ask what went wrong last time.We know the client and their real problem · scored 2 of 4
- 03Check availability of each key expert for the whole period.The right team is available for the dates · scored 2 of 4
Decision sheet: Mid-term evaluation of a youth skills programme
Recommendation
HOLD. Close the gaps below before committing bid resources.
Deadline
30 Oct 2026.
Decision owner
To be recorded at the bid meeting, with the date of the decision.
| Criterion | Score | Points |
|---|---|---|
| FitFits our strategy and the work we want more of | 3 of 4Mostly | 11.25of 15 |
| ClientWe know the client and their real problem | 2 of 4Partly | 5of 10 |
| CompetitorsWe can beat the likely competitors | 2 of 4Partly | 7.5of 15 |
| CapabilityWe have the technical capability in-house or through partners | 3 of 4Mostly | 11.25of 15 |
| TeamThe right team is available for the dates | 2 of 4Partly | 5of 10 |
| EvidenceWe can evidence similar past work | 3 of 4Mostly | 11.25of 15 |
| PriceOur price can be competitive and still profitable | 2 of 4Partly | 5of 10 |
| TermsContract terms and risks are acceptable | 3 of 4Mostly | 7.5of 10 |
| Total | 63.75 of 100, which rounds to 64 | |
GKM Strategic Advisory & AI
Decision sheet: Mid-term evaluation of a youth skills programme
Your organisation
HOLD64 of 100
- Recommendation
- HOLD. Close the gaps below before committing bid resources.
- Deadline
- 30 Oct 2026.
- Decision owner
- To be recorded at the bid meeting, with the date of the decision.
Your full report
Go / hold / no-go discussion sheet, by email once delivery is connected.
Go / hold / no-go discussion sheet (PDF) with the evidence behind each score
Tool: Bid/no-bid workbench Opportunity: Mid-term evaluation of a youth skills programme Result: HOLD · 64/100 Request: please review this decision (SVC-002 / SVC-068).Send as a brief
How it decides, and its limits.
The rule is published so you can check it. The weights are the tool’s own and are fixed.
Method
- 01
Hard eligibility checks come first: any “No” is an automatic NO-GO; any “Not sure” caps the result at HOLD.
- 02
Each criterion scores 0 to 4 and earns its weight × score ÷ 4. Weights total 100.
- 03
GO at 70 or more, HOLD from 50 to 69, NO-GO below 50.
What it cannot tell you
- Scores are your judgement; the value is in discussing them with evidence.
- It cannot confirm eligibility; only the tender documents and the buyer can.
- Weights are standard; some bids deserve different ones.
Quality ruleHard eligibility failures override weighted scores.
When the decision needs a second reader.
-
Prof. Wisdom GagakumaTool owner · consultations from USD 150Book the Professor -
Kenneth GagakumaTool owner · consultations from USD 90Book Kenneth
- Service · 06 Bids, proposals & intelligenceOpportunity intelligence desk: funding & tender alerts, bid/no-bid verdicts↗
- Service · 06 Bids, proposals & intelligenceTender, RFP & bid writing↗
- GuideBuild a bid/no-bid decision from evidence rather than optimism↗
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